The Great Disruption
By THOMAS L. FRIEDMAN
Published March 11th 2009
This column got a lot of feedback from New York Times readers. I am thinking of calling Chapter 18 "The Great Disruption." I am coming to the conclusion that the market and Mother Nature both hit the wall here in 2008/2009. We need growth, we need ways to raise people's standards of living, but what will be the new ways we should focus on—post-The Great Disruption—that will allow us to grow people's living standards in a more sustainable and regenerative way?
Ideas:
What is the relationship between the spike in oil prices to $147/bbl. that happened shortly before the melt down and the financial melt down and recession?
Could it be the real triggering event?
Is the financial mess a result of our oil addiction sucking the cash out of the economy and shipping it overseas?
If so, then the real cause of the melt down was our energy policy, triggering the collapse of the risky investment schemes.
One part of the mechanism could be a person/business with a loan they can barely afford gets slammed by a doubling of energy prices, defaults, etc? Another might be faulty speculation by the investment houses in higher oil prices.
Is there a strong correlation between the oil price spikes and the 1974 recession, 1978 recession, 1991 recession, etc? With resultant changes in elections?
Is there an relationship between the energy self-sufficiency of a national economy and its recovery from the economic melt down?
If so, it makes our adoption of a new energy policy and the shift to renewables really critical.
February 3rd 2010, 5:31 pm
Steadily increasing populations coupled with advancements in technology present problems for waste management. One particular issue is gaining attention from the locals of Winnemucca, Nevada. The proposed Humboldt County Landfill is said to bring job revenue and possible assistance to help establish a local recycling center to the region. However, a number of local citizens are opposed to it. To learn more about the Humboldt County Landfill, visit: http://nevadatrashtalk.wordpress.com
February 2nd 2010, 1:32 am
Another idea for chapter 18.
I've seen some buzz about thorium being used as a clean nuclear energy. I first saw it in Wired magazine but, apparently, other countries are already putting the idea to work. A google search for “thorium energy” turned up a number of groups promoting it. I particularly like the group Thorium Energy Alliance. They seem to be taking some real action to educate the public about it. If you think it's worth looking into, their site is:
http://www.thoriumenergyalliance.com/
Anyway, anyone who has read HF&C should watch the clip.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U57snkWouV4
Make it a shortcut and watch it again and again.
Sorry, this old man doesn't know how to add links.
January 30th 2010, 1:10 pm
In response to James,
Yes, $500 oil over the next decade is very likely. The U.S. imports two-thirds of its oil, and according to the Export Land Model, could have those imports totally cut off by 2020. Nations export their surplus, and most of our exporters have surging internal consumption and falling production. Mexico, once the 2nd largest exporter to the U.S., will be a net oil importer competing with us on the open market in a couple of years now that Cantarell is well past peak.
According to Jeff Rubin, one of Canada's top economists, oil will reach $225 a barrel in 2012:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wYuLjGQQ-jg
January 19th 2010, 3:41 am
I just finished reading Hot Flat and Crowded 2.0 (well almost: pages 421 to 468 were missing and I had two copies of page 373 to 420).
There were a couple of issues that I thought were related that were not mentioned.
Infrastructure replacement: most infrastrcture is built with a planned life cycle of something like 70 years. Much of the west's infrastructure is getting to be that old and will need to be replaced over the next 20 to 30 years. I remember that being a big issue whrn I worked in Winnipeg.
If we need to replace the infrastructure anyway, the cost of going for green infrastructure is really much less than if we had to build all new infrastructure.
Peak Oil: I have been hearing a lot about the concept of peak oil: that is the production of oil will peak in the near future, and with increasing demand, the price of oil will increase dramatically. I read one estimate of $500 a barrell in the next 10 years. I thought that was unrealistically high, but after reading your book, I am begining to think it could well happen.
If we are going to have such oil prices in the near future, does it make sense to invest in infrastructure that will become useless when the price of oil goes through the roof?
January 14th 2010, 11:15 pm
Yet another example of how dangerous and absolutely idiotic liberals can be:
http://www.sustainablenuclear.org/PADs/pad050...
In the decade from 1984 to 1994, scientists at argonne national laboratories developed an advanced nuclear technology 160 times as fuel-efficient as today's light water reactors, that could power the world for nearly a thousand years using material recovered from today's used nuclear fuel or depleted uranium. And yet, it was cancelled by team Clinton in the final stages of development. Don't these people realize that economic growth is based on increased energy consumption? I guess they thought the Earth holds an unlimited store of fossil fuels, and can be an unlimited sewer for the waste given off by burning those fossil fuels. Go figure. Now, we all have to suffer because the one alternative to fossil fuels was killed. Let it be known that the destruction of the environment, the crashing of the economy due to high oil prices, is the fault of the Clinton administration for killing the Integral Fast Reactor. What complete morons.
January 8th 2010, 5:16 am
AS USUAL...FOLLOW THE MONEY..... WE NEED TO HARVEST LIGHTENING...ALL THE NATURAL ELECTRICITY IN THE WORLD IS FREE FOR THE HARNESSING. MAYBE A NETWORK OF LIGHTENING RODS THAT TURN THE PLAINS AND PRAIRIES INTO A NATURAL ELECTRICAL WEB OF LIGHTENING TRANSPORT.
January 5th 2010, 9:15 pm
Mr. Friedman,
As a nation, we do not need to raise our standard of living. In fact, what we need is for Government and Citizens alike to learn to live within their means. The worst tragedy to ever hit our nation was when we first began to live on credit.
The second worse tragedy was when we turned our back on developing reliable mass transit in favor of 3 to 4 autos in every garage.
With regard to an energy tax, I agree with developing alternative energy sources, however it is beyond me why we should trust the politicians who have for decades ignored our own vast oil resource, while speneing money on foreign oil, and screaming "wind & solar."
We DO NOT need more taxes in this country. We need to control and manage what the Federal and State governments steal from my pocket each pay day.
We SHOULD NOT raise even 1 cent in any tax until we have:
1. Established financial reporting for the Federal Government and can know for sure where every single tax dollar atually goes.
2. Confirmed and Audited the tax return of every Federal elected and appointed official.
3. Insisted that every elected, appointed, and hired person on the Federal payroll subscribe to Social Security, buy in to Medicare and to any Health plan they prescribe for U.S. citizens at large, limit federal wage increases to cost-of-living or 3%, whichever is less, establish term-limits for ALL elected officials, and eliminate Federal Pensions (let them take Social Security and pay-in to 401k's as we must).
Please - if you're looking for funding, convince a politician to turn over the ear-marks that they voted in during the 2008-2009 bailouts. Their are literally billions of dollars of waste that have yet to be accounted for. You can probably shovel it off the Senator & Congressman's office floor.
January 5th 2010, 6:26 pm
I live in the Detroit area. If gas was raised by $3-4 a gallon, it would hurt the lowest wage earners hardest. We have no mass transit alternative. I live 20 miles S of the city and work 6 miles N of it. There is no other way for me to get there than by car. It is the same throughout the region. Until some mass transit gets built, many years from now, driving is our only option.
December 23rd 2009, 12:28 pm
The Hirsch report on global peak oil, by the Dept. of energy, states that "previous transitions from wood to coal and coal to oil were gradual and evolutionary. The transition away from oil will be abrupt and revolutionary."
And "sustained high prices ($147 per barrel in 2008) will lead to demand destruction (recession and lost jobs).
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hirsch_report
We are now in the peak oil era...
December 23rd 2009, 4:29 am
Friedman,
You consistently present false choices in your columns and provide absolutely NO objective data to support your assertions. You'll have to do better than that to maintain any sort of credibility. Climategate is only the tip of the iceberg when it comes to the fraud being foisted on the public. The very data being used to present a "warming" planet is being questioned on all fronts. Ice melting in one area of the globe is growing in another. Polar bear population is INCREASING, but migrating. The sky is NOT falling. So, exactly how is the Earth "warming"? As for false choices, even YOU should understand that the choice isn't between warming or not, but whether human activity has anything to do with it. Again, there is not a shred of scientific evidence to support anthropogenic warming. The climate has been changing since Day 1. The best we can do is try to understand it and adapt accordingly. Cutting our collective economic throats is not the way to do it. Oh, and P.S., I just saw a great interview with a Silicon Valley CEO, a native of India himself, discussing ways to boost tech activity again in the U. S. According to him, there are several ways to do so, most of which require the government to get out of the way. The best part of the interview was at the end, where he said, and I quote, "The world's not THAT flat". Priceless. You may want to make some adjustments to your original book, using his quote as the title.
December 22nd 2009, 11:40 pm
***The IEA admits Global Peak Oil...
Demand will be 120 million barrels a day by 2030, but by then existing wells will have declined by two-thirds:
http://www.energyandcapital.com/articles/IEA-...
Two-thirds of oil is used for transportation.
Guess the world really was round after all.***
December 22nd 2009, 8:49 pm
I believe many of us who are concerned about energy independence and climate change severely OVERestimate the knowledge base of the majority of Americans on these subjects. For example, I don't believe the majority of Americans really believe there is a "climate crisis"; nor, in my opinion, do they believe American policy has actually subsidized and continues to subsidize our fossil fuel based economy unfairly.
The "Energy Race" that you call for in your most recent NYtimes OP-ED piece will not really take off in America until the "knowledge gap" of the majority of Americans is closed, in my opinion.
My suggestion is that you, and other leading opinion-makers, petition the White House to announce that it will host three nationally televised town meetings that will include a panel of experts "on all sides" in climate change and American energy policy to debate these issues. Each Town Meeting can begin with a 1 hour debate, for example, and be followed by 2 hours of "viewer" questions and dialogue. And, I believe, the format should call for at least 3 of these for maximum impact.
Again, this suggestion comes from my personal experience (and as a former State Energy, private sector, and EPA employee experience as well) that America's "Green" adovacates overestimate the knowledge base within the American population.
December 21st 2009, 12:06 pm
Reading “Hot, Flat, and Crowded” was indeed an eye-opening piece of literature. The elaborate details and facts Mr. Friedman discusses, leaves little room for disbelief. The world is not merely approaching, but has already entered an ecological, political, and financial calamity. The United States government has been portrayed as greedy and stubborn– and rightfully so. Despite all the apparent evidence presented that global warming is indeed REAL; despite engineers, innovators, and scientist who are willing and able to create cleaner technologies; and despite those energy and environmentally friendly technologies that are already in existence; the United States government still can not look pass the dollar sign and towards the future! Doing what is best for our country and not the lobbyist, should be the number one priority of our democratic government. The government still allows itself to be greatly influenced by lobbyists, despite the fact that they do not and never will represent the majority of people our elected officials claim to represent.
Throughout the entire book, Thomas Friedman addresses an abundant amount of issues. Despite Mr. Friedman’s sober optimism, in a Chapter 18, I think a few of the following issues should be readdressed in a more assertive and urgent tone- leaving the reader to feel more motivated. The concept that our education system needs to include earth science and outdoor experiences is vital to the success of our nation’s future. I recently sent a proposal through the National Wildlife Federation expressing the importance of cosponsoring the Bat- Watershed Education and Training Regional Program and National Environmental Literacy Grant Program Act (H.R. 3644). It’s a proposal that will and has provided young people in the public school system with opportunities to learn about their local watershed through first-hand experiences. Not only will “children who connect with nature perform better in school, have higher SAT scores, and exhibit fewer behavioral challenges…”, with a program like H.R. 3644, experiencing their local habitats will help them better understand how their actions effect water quality, wildlife habitat, and their overall surrounding environment. Another concept that could be readdressed in Chapter 18, is the importance of individual and group efforts during this essential time. The government should recognize the power of its nation’s people, and look towards for plausible solutions and innovations they can are capable of presenting. Maybe Thomas Friedman could even address our current President Barak Obama, and his optimistic plans for our nation and its energy crisis. I would enjoy reading Mr. Friedman’s take on the current, 2009 situation.
December 16th 2009, 5:02 pm
CORRECTION: I meant "New Orleans" and not "Saint Louis"... sorry!
December 14th 2009, 11:51 pm
The worst case scenario in global warming is what's going to happen to the world is something similar, if not worse, to what happened to Saint Louis in Katrina. The difference thought, people in Katrina found other places to migrate to and other people to get donations from. In an universal global catastrophe, people won't find places to migrate nor people to get donations from.
December 14th 2009, 11:48 pm
Mr. Friedman,
I immediately though of you and your appreciation of systems thinking when I received an email that, Andrew McKeon and Gipsie Ranney just completed a paper titled "Thinking About Management from a Climate Change Perspective." This paper can be found at:
http://www.carbonrational.com/ClimateChangean...
The philosophy of W. Edwards Deming, the guru of the postwar Japanese economic miracle, is well represented with Deming being mentioned three dozen times. I believe that it is no coincidence that Ford, the U.S. auto maker that embraced Dr. Deming’s philosophy the most, did not need a 2009 U.S. Government bailout for survival.
You may recall that during your “LIVE from the NYPL” conversation with Nandan Nilekani on March 23, 2009: that Mr. Nilekani confirmed Dr. Deming’s current influence in India and that more companies from India won Japan’s Deming prize for quality than companies from all other counties combined (2000 through 2008).
For the last 40 years at least and perhaps since WWII, America seems to have lost its way and wondering in the wilderness. Deming’s philosophy is a time-tested blue-print for transformation where lack of sustainability is a primary concern.
Best wishes for an very enjoyable holiday season.
December 9th 2009, 10:50 pm
subject:co-auther book and /or work together
hi thomos,
lots of regards and love.
i am in the process of writing a book.object is to change human race to insure self-perpetuating and self-sustainable survival, our primary moral responsibility towards generations to come.
history has proven that it is not possible by one man, religion or ism's(idealogies).at least 51% of adult population must get involved in the mission within next 5 years. time is not only crucial but against humans.
however, it is possible now due to technological advances( especially it), the tools available today and people like you.
my phone # is 512 863 8940. call me or send me your phone #, if this tall order interests you. i sincerely pray that it will, so that i can meet with you in new york.
ramesh mahale
by the way,my son (raj mahale) practices in stamford, ct. i don't know if you remember chatting with him on one of the airports.
December 8th 2009, 4:39 pm
Thanks for the book
I pirated Hot, Flat and Crowed
last week, after the first page, I decided I needed it in paper.
Just for the pleasure of killing a few trees.
And to be able to read it carefully.
So I bought it.
My finances are very tights.
But I'm sure you won't deceive me.
I saw you on Charlie too, I kinda like you.
I've been doing personal research on écology and population since a couple of years. I've read as much pro and anti climate change proponents as I could find.
Even hundreds of pirated e-mails, last week.
Not much in there. Unless you read what you want a read.
For now, my conclusions on this earth is quite simple,
reduce population. And I think this will be done naturally.
I'm not sure if human race is going to survive, I'm not even sure if it is desirable.
You seem to think that humans are intelligent entities.
I don't think so, we don't learn by our mistakes, otherwise, why would there still be war on this little ball ?
10,000 years of wars and still at it !
And all the time with the best of intentions.
And of course with God on our side.
I am still at it, in case I could come up with something good about it. I'm just a little someone somewhere,
but just in case........
Sorry for my broken english.
And thanks again for the books.
December 5th 2009, 2:11 am
Rapid expansion of NUCLEAR POWER GENERATION.
It IS the next big public works opportunity, and it is FOUNDATIONAL to every else that is green and energy independent.
Don't be cowed by the Left. On this point, they are Luddites.
November 29th 2009, 11:05 pm
Very Simple..
Think, Eat, Act, Search, Behave and So Many....Sustainable Lifestyle
November 29th 2009, 1:05 am
How to prevent economic crisis in time of disaster?
______________________________________________
In time of disasters people tend to behave frugally, spending less money on leisure and luxury. This is perfectly understandable: one would like to have more savings in case the situation will worsen even more. In paradoxical way, this behavior leads to further market deterioration. What can we do in order to resolve this dilemma? Is it possible at all? Below I attempt to provide a constructive answer to this question. The short answer is:
In time of a crisis we ought to support the people, who served us in good times
The detailed answer follows...
In normal time, by purchasing various goods or services, we encourage certain production and employment level in certain branches of economics. It would be fair to establish consumer support of the same branches and consequently, the support of their workers, during crisis time as well. This can be done by means of the proposed below bond system. It creates a possibility of moving money fast from areas of excess to areas of shortage, blocking the crisis in early stage, before the waves of instability spread over the entire economy. This instrument can greatly stabilize the economy in whole and reduce its vulnerability to disasters and sharp changes in the external world.
Read more at http://www.cs.technion.ac.il/users/wwwb/cgi-b...
November 1st 2009, 3:18 pm
The impact of the structural weaknesses within the United States and world economies and the resulting impact on commerce, governments, and people can no longer be concealed or denied. To fully understand what is occurring and lay the groundwork for a lasting, effective remedy, consider the following:
Truth and Consequences: A nation cannot be economically sustained by moving industry abroad to take advantage of the poor laboring masses so paper profits can be maximized while expecting its citizens to have the means to constantly buy from a market that depresses their wages, removes skilled jobs, production and knowledge, then creates consumer debt to make up the difference. This approach will inevitably lead to a market crash when the victims of such a system have been picked bare. What money is left will be used to buy food, not pay off debt.
The Source of Error: Americans and the world in general have been taught that capitalism is the economic system of democracy, considering them synonymous. This is a fallacy. Democracy (one person-one vote) vests power in people; capitalism (one dollar-one vote) vests power in money. In capitalism, those individuals controlling the majority of dollar-votes have the most power, and in many instances virtually all the power, their allegiance is to their source of power, and they use their power to obtain more (dollars and power). This resembles feudalism more than democracy.
Counterfeit Economies: Under this rule, we have essentially substituted for real production a counterfeit economy based on a zero sum game of securities (paper) trading that turns hard working employees into expendable pawns and productive capital assets into liquidity; the players’ scores are tallied and winners and losers declared each fiscal quarter. The focus on financial paper instead of production of goods has led us to our current mess from which we cannot recover until we restore America’s capacity for building real wealth from real production.
Real Wealth: True value is created as a direct result of a company’s craftsmanship and customer/product inventories built up over the years. Known as productive capital, it is created by working people, and serves as the foundation of sustained income. But in the counterfeit economy these values are discharged and appropriated by those who created nothing more than financial paper.
Name of the Game: While it is easy to blame this all on greed of the rich, all must hold themselves responsible for supporting an economic philosophy where living the life of the “rich and famous” is constantly put forth as the goal of life and one's highest achievement. Let us call it what it is: celebrity economics. This type of thinking and system has been aided and abetted by an educational system that has taken the brightest and best and turned them into the very managers that learned how to mathematically rig this game until there is 600 trillion dollars in the U.S. markets betting against the actual 16 trillion in real production throughout the entire globe. (Sources: David Korten, When Corporations Rule the World; Michael Moore, Capitalism, A Love Story)
We are now experiencing how unsustainable this system is. In order to understand what to REALLY do about it, we will need to employ a simple metaphor.
Ship of State: The laws and mechanics that govern a ship to a large extent are like those that govern a people and their Ship of State. The bow of the ship is the political system. It acts like a wedge to break the way, and the body follows. In accordance with the laws of physics, the direction of any ship is not controlled at the bow; it is controlled at the rudder, and within a nation that rudder is the economic system.
This metaphor is very instructive because it brings us to two simple and historical realities: A) those who hold the rudder govern the ship and B) regardless of the type of political system the ship may have, those who hold the rudder govern the ship. The fuel that powers the ship is capital: the speed and direction of the ship is determined by when, where, and how the fuel of capital is deployed.
If the people who are at the bow are also the people who are at the rudder, the chances for reaching the shore is greater, even in stormy seas. Conversely, if the people at the bow are trying to go one way and those at the rudder are trying to go another, the result is called “social shear”-- two peoples trying to move the ship in different directions. Those who control the rudder always win. It is that simple.
And now a word about Social shear, global warming and the green movement: Capitalism and consumerism, celebrity economics and feudal systems have exhausted the planet and its inhabitants in a very real way. Cities have become places for economic refugees as rural towns and farmlands are abandoned and people congregate in expensive and unsustainable situations, straining water and waste conditions, air quality, housing, roads, and so forth. Unless we remodel and take control of our economy, we will never have the tools required to create sustainable and ecological urban and regional systems. Resource depletion and global warming will continue. We must widen the definition of what constitutes a green economy, focusing not only on conservation of existing resources but also identification and expansion of new, renewable resources.
Fortunately, there exist business and financial models that address these problems by providing a way to eliminate the social shear and align the economy with the ecology. They hail from Vermont (banking), Switzerland (marketplace and credit creation), Utah (marketplace), Spain (worker cooperatives), Texas (alternative to capital stock ownership), Brazil (employee-employer cooperative), and Italy (flexible manufacturing networks). If joined together in a single system, they could provide the framework for not only ecological renewal but also a sustainable economy.
More information about these models can be obtained from the WhatWorksProject.
October 26th 2009, 7:46 pm
You rightly say in your column "Still Not Tired" that we need to partner with Arab and Muslim societies to help them build thriving countries, integrated with the world economy, where young people don't grow up in a soil poisoned by religious extremnists and choked by petro-dictators....
A great contribution to this would be to have your book, The World is Flat, translated into Arabic and made available as cheaply as possible in bookstores throughout the Arab world. Can you do it??
Thank you for all your great columns and books!
October 15th 2009, 7:23 am
I wanted to comment on your recent article on Afghanistan in the New York Times, but comments are no longer being accepted, and I can't find the article on your blog.
I think your ideas about energy relate directly to the local structure of Afghanistan. The centralized government there is inherently flawed because all revenues come from drug warlords to Karzai, as you stated. For there to be a representative government there must be local economic interests based on trade between districts. If the local interests are completely drug related, the general people have no great interest in being economically represented. Instead their only interest is their immediate safety.
The United States can ignore Karzai and introduce energy infrastructure to Afghani locals. The energy plants can run other industries as well, which produce goods that are exchangeable. Energy itself can be exchangeable. The United States should not pressure tribes to join sides in the war, but provide infrastructure as incentive. Perhaps the infrastructure will lead to representative government if Afghanis make exchangeable goods and commerce interests need to be arbitrated by a centralized government.
The United States also owes something to Afghanis- Afghanistan was entirely destroyed in a proxy war between Soviets and Americans a few decades ago. I don't believe it is ethical to view the Afghani situation as something Americans have no responsibility for besides looking out for our own interests. Just because our puppet Karzai is misbehaving is no reason to justify leaving Afghanis in another mess and at the mercy of the Taliban.
October 14th 2009, 11:27 pm
What if average worker productivity increased ten fold? It surely will--every economic incentive encourages it. Will it be used to lay off workers or to improve lifestyle?
October 6th 2009, 11:27 pm
Leave it to the free market, not the government, to put some of your brilliant ideas into action.
http://news.cnet.com/8301-11128_3-10368371-54...
This is taken almost directly out of your book, it's a meter that measures how much electricity you are using at on moment, compares it to other days and weeks. They're working on making it so that you can make sure to only use major appliances only during non-peak hours. It's not quite selling electricity back into the system nor is it a more efficient grid, but it is a step in the right direction. Is there any possible way to hate Google?
October 6th 2009, 10:47 am
Great topic of dicussion and insightful postings. Have not had a chance to read the new book just yet however I have been following the feedback. Also enjoyed the recent panel discussion on Bill Maher Show.
Getting back to the subject at hand:
- We need to emphasis and tie-in the objective of becoming a nation of producers versus a nation of consumers with an initiative of clean area.
My thoughts are, and I am not a scientist but I am scientifically curious like many of us are, that we need to find ways to export energy long term. For example, we find ways to transition from paper to quasi paperless environment, then we should have ongoing federal and state initiatives that support transitioning from consuming to producing units of energy. Here is on example, energy companies in certain communities rebate the end-user for power generated from solar. Using that example, why not have solar cell engineered mobile units. Imagine cutting emissions and having trucks produce energy while transporting cargo across the US.
The other area, which I believe there is great advancement in, is nuclear energy. Nuclear plants need to be recommissioned for healthcare needs due inconsistencies in global supply chain. That need, combined with fuel supply deficit, makes nuclear energy a critical focus area.
Look forward to the new revision. Should be a good stocking suffer. (P.S. Religion 0.0 thru Religion 4.0 all celebrate the holdidays - Thats what great about America!)
Welcome opportunity to connect on LinkedIn.
Sincerely,
Vimal T. Patel
patel07307@gmail.com
October 5th 2009, 10:30 am
Please go to those4ideas.com.
I submitted four items of what I consider personal intellectual property to Craigslist on Tuesday, Sept. 8. They are: 1) A proposal that would provide universal healthcare for half what we currently spend; 2) A taxation method that will insure that corporations pay their tax burden rather than pass it on to customers in the form of higher prices; 3) A way to increase revenues – read raise taxes- that you and I could actually agree to; and 4) A proposal that could stabilize the Palestinian-Israeli conflict and region.
September 29th 2009, 10:44 pm
Dear Mr. Thomas L. Friedman,
I want to thank you for writing, Hot, Flat, and Crowded - Why We Need a Green Revolution-And How it Can Renew America. It explains the many reasons for my companies work. Since 2002, Engineered Tools and Technologies or ET Squared, has been working on a design that is a viable solution for a clean/smart energy grid. We are a Colorado grassroots think tank and start up whose goal is to create, design, and develop innovative products that mitigate the negative impact of human beings on our planet, Earth. Our funding is limited; a few of us have been working out of our homes on this complex issue because we feel we must. We are professionals who companies hire to design and build concepts that have not been done before. As an architect, designer, engineer, inventor, scientists, and a teacher we pulled back the layers of the industrial revolution to analyze the harm. Mr. Friedman, we agree with you about needing to look at things differenly and using high rise buildings along light rail systems because "to make a change of difference it needs to be done on a massive scale." In the words of, Dana Meadows, "We have exactly enough time--staring now." The world's population grows at the rate of 2.5 people per second so we better hurry up and get started. Wouldn't you agree?
I know you get bombarded with ideas at events but I hope you can take some time to look at the 'Energy Oasis' model and give us some constructive feedback. Please visit www.etsquared.com to read more about our work the 'Energy Oasis' model. I quote your book often when explaining what ET Squared is doing and why. If you have any questions about the BioReactor in the 'Energy Oasis' I will be in D.C. at the end of September for the 6th Annual Global Intellectual Property Center Summit at the US Chamber of Commerce. I would be available to meet with you in person if your schedule permits.
Everyday Americans throw approximately 450,000 tons of waste into landfills, polluting our air, land, and water. Here are some things that have been looked over as energy sources: animal and human wastes, wastes that are generated at animal rendering plants, breweries, food processing plants, and any point where a private company collects waste from consumers and processes that waste. Since there is not a holy grail for one clean/smart energy source, we think, the definitive answer is to integrate various alternative energy sources and smart conservation technologies together with waste to energy systems. Use natural gas as a cross over fuel and start building the clean/smart energy grid. ET Squared is working on improving anaerobic digestion using methane created from processing wastes as a fuel to power electric generators and turbines. ET Squared has a patent pending for the next generation of anaerobic digesters and mixing systems which we call a BioReactor. To get started in America we can build waste to energy systems at existing trash and waste collection sites retrofitting existing trash and wastewater systems and join them into the clean/smart energy grid.
Ed Mazria, Architecture2030.org, states that half of America's buildings need to be rebuilt because their lifespan is over. What better way to help the economy than to have a massive re-construction period for America. Recycling the old into the new by building the clean/smart energy grid for the new urban America where it's a short walk or bike ride to a Transit Station that functions as an 'Energy Oasis.' The 'Energy Oasis' is a high density residential commercial building built in a park environment located on both sides of a light rail line with many trees and gardens that will process CO2 through photosynthesis to create miles of carbon sinks for metro areas. Also incorporated into the design are bridges over freeways and major intersections, landscaped as parks, using various path systems for the different modes of individual transportation that will connect existing neighborhoods with easy access to light rail stations. This will remove pedestrains from traffic flows in a metro area. In the twenty to hundred year master plans, light rail lines in all cities would become massive parks, similar to New York cities Central Park, which is an oasis in a sea of concrete.
In the 'Energy Oasis' building we have located the waste to energy system in the clean/smart mechanical room below the garage where commuters, shoppers, workers, and residents can park and plug in to recharge their vehicles. The main level and the next few floors are for retail and office space. The upper floors of the building are for residential units, some units will have walkout patio gardens to help insulate the building. The waste to energy system processes all wastes that aren't recycled and uses the extra heat generated from the systems equipment as another heat source. The 'Energy Oasis' uses the building's shape to function as a solar collector.
The shape also helps the building's ventilation system reduce operations costs. We are using fuels from heaven with applicable alternative energy systems that are incorporated into the building's exterior wall and roof systems to provide more sources for clean energy options and energy conservation. This is a brief description of the 'Energy Oasis' model which can be easily replicated. We can modernize our cities and lifestyles without depleting the planets resources and close the gap between the "haves" and the "have-nots" when we build the clean/smart energy grid by focusing our energies on endeavors that are worthy of our time.
As you quote Thomas Browne, "Nature is the art of God." We understand John Muir when he said, "When we try to pick out anything by itself, we find it hitched to everything else in the Universe." For we are all connected and it is our responsibility not to have greed dictate our decsions as it has in the past, we need to improve the human condition for all and ensure human beings will continue living for many millenniums in harmony with Mother Earth.
Sincerely,
Pete Tovani
ET Squared
September 24th 2009, 1:48 pm
Post new comment